A 34% increase in criminal incidents since September, with October recording the highest number of incidents in the past year. Armed robberies have more than doubled since September, primarily targeting businesses.

Crime nationwide had decreased in the 2nd quarter but has increased in the past month amongst Safeguard Clients. The ZWG rate continues to run as the interbank rate drastically changed at the end of September to combat this.

Crime overall has decreased significantly, and we should see this trend continues into November judging on past trends and start to increase again over the Christmas Holiday. The ZIG parallel rate is moving, and this will have an impact if it continues.

Crime overall has decreased significantly, and as more businesses adopt good security practices criminals are turning to residential properties that present a weak security presence.

Criminal incidents have increased by an average of 12.06% per month for the past 4 months with an increase of 4% from May. And we are up 57.14% as compared to June 2023. Historically we should be seeing lower crime during the winter months, however, we are experiencing the highest reported crime rates in the past year.

Criminal incidents have increased since April and are up on last year. Crime continues to increase about 12% per month for the past 3 months. Historically we should see a decrease in crime over the next few months. However, we have seen a steady increase to crime.

Historically we have seen that times of high crime generally bring low periods of crime directly after. However, with the release of many prisoners we might not see crime decrease in the coming months.

As the ZWL continues to slide real earnings are falling for those earning ZWL. This is driving hardship, and on trend will drive more criminal acts. The reported structured currency announcement due on the 5th is driving real anxiety and it is likely that more cash is being held at homes and businesses- which raises the risk of incidents.

There is no change to the outlook reported last month. Inflation will drive opportunistic crime and internal theft as real wages fall for those earning Zimbabwe Dollars.

The ZRP have made several good arrests recently related to armed robbery, and hopefully some relief here for a period. The power cuts improve opportunities for crime (dark and security system failure where no sensible back up power), and we have the holidays ahead of us. Crime likely to rise in the months ahead.